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The Meteorological Office (Met Office from now on) has issued an Amber Warning for severe gales for Monday 28 October. Here’s the text of the message:

AMBER EARLY WARNING of SEVERE GALES

A spell of stormy weather is possible on Sunday night and Monday in southern England.

Gusts of wind may exceed 80mph with exposed parts of the south coast most at risk. Damaging gusts may bring down trees and there is the risk of structural damage. The transport network could well be affected and heavy rain will be an extra hazard.

With some uncertainty about the exact position of the strongest gusts, please keep up to date with the forecast over the coming days.

Valid on Monday from 0005 to 2100.

Although there is uncertainty about the path of the gales, the Met Office forecasters seem to be stressing ‘exposed southern coasts’. The area of low pressure is coming up the channel and deepening all the time.

Looking at Southampton’s schedules, there are no cruise ships actually in port on Monday. However there are three ships due on Tuesday, which means that they’ll be slogging up (or down) the channel on Monday. The ships are:

  • Fred Olsen’s Balmoral, on return from the Canary Isles;
  • Royal Caribbean’s Independence of the Seas, coming back from the Iberian coast;
  • Aida’s AidaSol, in Amsterdam today and therefore presumably on a ‘northern european ports’ cruise.

I think passengers on these ships are in for a rough day and night on Monday. I’ll keep my eyes on the warning(s) over the next few days to see if there are any changes.  Finally, here’s a link to the Met Office ‘Warnings’ page.

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